Authors: | Kallandranis, Christos Vlassas, Ioannis Dimitriou, Dimitrios Tsioutsios, Alexandros Diakodimitriou, Danai |
Issue Date: | 1-Jan-2023 |
Journal: | Journal of Energy Markets |
Volume: | 17 |
Issue: | 3 |
Keywords: | Agriculture prices, Crude oil, Financial crises, Multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH), Wavelet coherence analysis |
Abstract: | This study examines empirically the volatility comovement between crude oil prices and key agricultural commodities for a series of shocks faced by the global econ-omy. Using both a multivariate Baba–Engle–Kraft–Kroner generalized autoregres-sive conditional heteroscedasticity (BEKK-GARCH) model to estimate the volatile comovements and detect possible contagion effects and a wavelet coherence analysis to test for time–frequency connectedness, we find positive correlation patterns between cocoa, corn and cotton prices and West Texas Intermediate oil price fluc-tuations. This correlation pattern is particularly evident in the global financial cri-sis, the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, the Covid-19 crisis and the Russo-Ukrainian War, which confirms the increased spillover during the shocks. These findings indi-cate a pattern of contagion for all assets, which could be attributed to their com-mon trade and financial characteristics, having important implications for portfolio managers, investors and government agencies. Hence, new policies are essential for safeguarding oil and agricultural commodities markets against future crises. |
ISSN: | 17563615 17563607 |
URL: | https://ssrn.com/abstract=4706544 |
URI: | https://uniwacris.uniwa.gr/handle/3000/1375 |
Type: | Article |
Department: | Department of Accounting and Finance |
School: | School of Administrative, Economics and Social Sciences |
Affiliation: | University of West Attica (UNIWA) |
Appears in Collections: | Articles / Άρθρα |
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