On the contagion effect between crude oil and agricultural commodity markets: a dynamic conditional correlation and spectral analysis
Authors: Kallandranis, Christos 
Vlassas, Ioannis 
Dimitriou, Dimitrios 
Tsioutsios, Alexandros 
Diakodimitriou, Danai 
Issue Date: 1-Jan-2023
Journal: Journal of Energy Markets 
Volume: 17
Issue: 3
Keywords: Agriculture prices, Crude oil, Financial crises, Multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH), Wavelet coherence analysis
Abstract: 
This study examines empirically the volatility comovement between crude oil prices and key agricultural commodities for a series of shocks faced by the global econ-omy. Using both a multivariate Baba–Engle–Kraft–Kroner generalized autoregres-sive conditional heteroscedasticity (BEKK-GARCH) model to estimate the volatile comovements and detect possible contagion effects and a wavelet coherence analysis to test for time–frequency connectedness, we find positive correlation patterns between cocoa, corn and cotton prices and West Texas Intermediate oil price fluc-tuations. This correlation pattern is particularly evident in the global financial cri-sis, the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, the Covid-19 crisis and the Russo-Ukrainian War, which confirms the increased spillover during the shocks. These findings indi-cate a pattern of contagion for all assets, which could be attributed to their com-mon trade and financial characteristics, having important implications for portfolio managers, investors and government agencies. Hence, new policies are essential for safeguarding oil and agricultural commodities markets against future crises.
ISSN: 17563615
17563607
URI: https://uniwacris.uniwa.gr/handle/3000/1375
Type: Article
Department: Department of Accounting and Finance 
School: School of Administrative, Economics and Social Sciences 
Affiliation: University of West Attica (UNIWA) 
Appears in Collections:Articles / Άρθρα

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